Messages de SocrateGay

Le 26 mars 2021 à 04:53:33 Shintamaru a écrit :
en jouant au 2 j'ai eu l'impression qu'il manquait des mécaniques essentielles du 1 mais je me rapelles plus lesquelles, après c'était fun

Ils ne sont pas comparable en vrai

Le 25 mars 2021 à 23:21:22 bloblomv30 a écrit :

Le 25 mars 2021 à 23:05:36 PauseJVC a écrit :
Allez tout en bas de son site

In 2014 we published a disclaimer about the forecast. In six years the scenario has changed dramatically. This new disclaimer is meant to single out the situation from 2020 onwards. Talking about the United States and the European Union as separated entities no longer makes sense. Both are the Western block, keep printing money and will share the same fate.

After COVID we can draw two major conclusions:

The Western world success model has been built over societies with no resilience that can barely withstand any hardship, even a low intensity one. It was assumed but we got the full confirmation beyond any doubt.
The COVID crisis will be used to extend the life of this dying economic system through the so called Great Reset.
The Great Reset; like the climate change, extinction rebellion, planetary crisis, green revolution, shale oil (…) hoaxes promoted by the system; is another attempt to slow down dramatically the consumption of natural resources and therefore extend the lifetime of the current system. It can be effective for awhile but finally won’t address the bottom-line problem and will only delay the inevitable. The core ruling elites hope to stay in power which is in effect the only thing that really worries them.

The collapse of the Western financial system - and ultimately the Western civilization - has been the major driver in the forecast along with a confluence of crisis with a devastating outcome. As COVID has proven Western societies embracing multiculturalism and extreme liberalism are unable to deal with any real hardship. The Spanish flu one century ago represented the death of 40-50 million people. Today the world’s population is four times greater with air travel in full swing which is by definition a super spreader. The death casualties in today’s World would represent 160 to 200 million in relative terms but more likely 300-400 million taking into consideration the air travel factor that did not exist one century ago. So far, COVID death toll is roughly 1 million people. It is quite likely that the economic crisis due to the lockdowns will cause more deaths than the virus worldwide.

The Soviet system was less able to deliver goodies to the people than the Western one. Nevertheless Soviet society was more compact and resilient under an authoritarian regime. That in mind, the collapse of the Soviet system wiped out 10 percent of the population. The stark reality of diverse and multicultural Western societies is that a collapse will have a toll of 50 to 80 percent depending on several factors but in general terms the most diverse, multicultural, indebted and wealthy (highest standard of living) will suffer the highest toll. The only glue that keeps united such aberrant collage from falling apart is overconsumption with heavy doses of bottomless degeneracy disguised as virtue. Nevertheless the widespread censorship, hate laws and contradictory signals mean that even that glue is not working any more. Not everybody has to die migration can also play a positive role in this.

The formerly known as second and third world nations are an unknown at this point. Their fate will depend upon the decisions they take in the future. Western powers are not going to take over them as they did in the past because these countries won’t be able to control their own cities far less likely countries that are far away. If they remain tied to the former World Order they will go down along Western powers but won’t experience the brutal decline of the late because they are poorer and not diverse enough but rather quite homogenous used to deal with some sort of hardship but not precisely the one that is coming. If they switch to China they can get a chance to stabilize but will depend upon the management of their resources.

We expected this situation to unfold and actually is unfolding right now with the November election triggering a major bomb if Trump is re-elected. If Biden is elected there will very bad consequences as well. There is a lot of bad blood in the Western societies and the protests, demonstrations, rioting and looting are only the first symptoms of what is coming. However a new trend is taking place overshadowing this one.

The situation between the three great powers has changed dramatically. The only relevant achievement of the Western powers during the past decade has been the formation of a strategic alliance, both military and economic, between Russia and China. Right now the potential partnership between Russia and the European Union (EU) is dead with Russia turning definitively towards China. That was from the beginning the most likely outcome. Airbus never tried to establish a real partnership but rather a strategy to fade away the Russian aerospace industry. Actually Russia and China have formed a new alliance to build a long haul airliner. Western Europe (not to mention the United States) was never interested in the development of Russia or forming anything other than a master slave relationship with Russia providing raw materials and toeing the line of the West. It was clear then and today is a fact.

Russia has been preparing for a major war since 2008 and China has been increasing her military capabilities for the last 20 years. Today China is not a second tier power compared with the United States. Both in military and economic terms China is at the same level and in some specific areas are far ahead. In the domain of high-tech 5G has been a success in the commercial realm but the Type 055 destroyer is also another breakthrough with the US gaining a similar capability (DDG 51 Flight IIII) by mid of this decade (more likely by 2030). Nanchang, the lead ship of the Type 055 class, was commissioned amid the pandemic and lockdown in China.

Six years ago the likelihood of a major war was tiny. Since then it has grown steadily and dramatically and today is by far the most likely major event in the 2020s. The ultimate conflict can come from two ways. A conventional conflict involving at least two major powers that escalates into an open nuclear war. A second scenario is possible in the 2025-2030 timeframe. A Russian sneak first strike against the United States and its allies with the new S-500, strategic missile defenses, Yasen-M submarines, INF Zircon and Kalibr missiles and some new space asset playing the key role. The sneak first strike would involve all Russian missile strategic forces branches (bombers and ground-based missiles) at the different stages of such attack that would be strategic translation of what was seen in Syria in November 2015. There was no report that the Russian had such a capability of launching a high precision, multiple, combined arms attack at targets 2,000+ kilometers away. Western intelligence had no clue. The irony is that since the end of the Cold War the United States has been maneuvering through NATO to achieve a position to execute a first strike over Russia and now it seems that the first strike may occur but the country finished would be the United States.

Another particularity of the Western system is that its individuals have been brainwashed to the point that the majority accept their moral high ground and technological edge as a given. This has given the rise of the supremacy of the emotional arguments over the rational ones which are ignored or deprecated. That mindset can play a key role in the upcoming catastrophic events. At least in the Soviet system the silent majority of the people were aware of the fallacies they were fed up. We can see the United States claims about G5 being stolen from them by China or hypersonic technology being stolen by Russia as the evidence that the Western elites are also infected by that hubris. Over the next decade it will become obvious that the West is falling behind the Russia-China block and the malaise might grow into desperation. Going to war might seem a quick and easy solution to restore the lost hegemony to finally find them into a France 1940 moment. Back then France did not have nuclear weapons to turn a defeat into a victory. The West might try that swap because the unpleasant prospect of not being Mars and Venus but rather a bully and his dirty bitch running away in fear while the rest of the world is laughing at them.

If there is not a dramatic change of course the world is going to witness the first nuclear war. The Western block collapse may come before, during or after the war. It does not matter. A nuclear war is a game with billions of casualties and the collapse plays in the hundreds of millions.

This website is non-profit, built on spare time and we provide our information and services AS IS without further explanations and/or guarantees. We are not linked to any government. Take into account that the forecast is nothing more than a game of numbers whether flawed or correct based upon some speculative assumptions.

Friday, September 25th, 2020

L'analyse est médiocre

"le système soviétique trop bien il est certes faible mais il est ultra résistant"
alors que l'URSS a définitivement été mise à genoux par la première crise pétrolière ahi

+ la fin "la Russie va lancer une attaque surprise sur les USA avec ses missiles stratégiques S-500 et ses sous marins modernes et tout, Poutine se prépare à la guerre depuis 2008"https://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2020/50/2/1607386908-enxt.png

bref.

Le S-500 c'est un système de defense anti-aérien.

Plus c'est gros plus ça passe.

Et ça marche

Les golem y croient

Le 25 mars 2021 à 23:05:36 PauseJVC a écrit :
Allez tout en bas de son site

In 2014 we published a disclaimer about the forecast. In six years the scenario has changed dramatically. This new disclaimer is meant to single out the situation from 2020 onwards. Talking about the United States and the European Union as separated entities no longer makes sense. Both are the Western block, keep printing money and will share the same fate.

After COVID we can draw two major conclusions:

The Western world success model has been built over societies with no resilience that can barely withstand any hardship, even a low intensity one. It was assumed but we got the full confirmation beyond any doubt.
The COVID crisis will be used to extend the life of this dying economic system through the so called Great Reset.
The Great Reset; like the climate change, extinction rebellion, planetary crisis, green revolution, shale oil (…) hoaxes promoted by the system; is another attempt to slow down dramatically the consumption of natural resources and therefore extend the lifetime of the current system. It can be effective for awhile but finally won’t address the bottom-line problem and will only delay the inevitable. The core ruling elites hope to stay in power which is in effect the only thing that really worries them.

The collapse of the Western financial system - and ultimately the Western civilization - has been the major driver in the forecast along with a confluence of crisis with a devastating outcome. As COVID has proven Western societies embracing multiculturalism and extreme liberalism are unable to deal with any real hardship. The Spanish flu one century ago represented the death of 40-50 million people. Today the world’s population is four times greater with air travel in full swing which is by definition a super spreader. The death casualties in today’s World would represent 160 to 200 million in relative terms but more likely 300-400 million taking into consideration the air travel factor that did not exist one century ago. So far, COVID death toll is roughly 1 million people. It is quite likely that the economic crisis due to the lockdowns will cause more deaths than the virus worldwide.

The Soviet system was less able to deliver goodies to the people than the Western one. Nevertheless Soviet society was more compact and resilient under an authoritarian regime. That in mind, the collapse of the Soviet system wiped out 10 percent of the population. The stark reality of diverse and multicultural Western societies is that a collapse will have a toll of 50 to 80 percent depending on several factors but in general terms the most diverse, multicultural, indebted and wealthy (highest standard of living) will suffer the highest toll. The only glue that keeps united such aberrant collage from falling apart is overconsumption with heavy doses of bottomless degeneracy disguised as virtue. Nevertheless the widespread censorship, hate laws and contradictory signals mean that even that glue is not working any more. Not everybody has to die migration can also play a positive role in this.

The formerly known as second and third world nations are an unknown at this point. Their fate will depend upon the decisions they take in the future. Western powers are not going to take over them as they did in the past because these countries won’t be able to control their own cities far less likely countries that are far away. If they remain tied to the former World Order they will go down along Western powers but won’t experience the brutal decline of the late because they are poorer and not diverse enough but rather quite homogenous used to deal with some sort of hardship but not precisely the one that is coming. If they switch to China they can get a chance to stabilize but will depend upon the management of their resources.

We expected this situation to unfold and actually is unfolding right now with the November election triggering a major bomb if Trump is re-elected. If Biden is elected there will very bad consequences as well. There is a lot of bad blood in the Western societies and the protests, demonstrations, rioting and looting are only the first symptoms of what is coming. However a new trend is taking place overshadowing this one.

The situation between the three great powers has changed dramatically. The only relevant achievement of the Western powers during the past decade has been the formation of a strategic alliance, both military and economic, between Russia and China. Right now the potential partnership between Russia and the European Union (EU) is dead with Russia turning definitively towards China. That was from the beginning the most likely outcome. Airbus never tried to establish a real partnership but rather a strategy to fade away the Russian aerospace industry. Actually Russia and China have formed a new alliance to build a long haul airliner. Western Europe (not to mention the United States) was never interested in the development of Russia or forming anything other than a master slave relationship with Russia providing raw materials and toeing the line of the West. It was clear then and today is a fact.

Russia has been preparing for a major war since 2008 and China has been increasing her military capabilities for the last 20 years. Today China is not a second tier power compared with the United States. Both in military and economic terms China is at the same level and in some specific areas are far ahead. In the domain of high-tech 5G has been a success in the commercial realm but the Type 055 destroyer is also another breakthrough with the US gaining a similar capability (DDG 51 Flight IIII) by mid of this decade (more likely by 2030). Nanchang, the lead ship of the Type 055 class, was commissioned amid the pandemic and lockdown in China.

Six years ago the likelihood of a major war was tiny. Since then it has grown steadily and dramatically and today is by far the most likely major event in the 2020s. The ultimate conflict can come from two ways. A conventional conflict involving at least two major powers that escalates into an open nuclear war. A second scenario is possible in the 2025-2030 timeframe. A Russian sneak first strike against the United States and its allies with the new S-500, strategic missile defenses, Yasen-M submarines, INF Zircon and Kalibr missiles and some new space asset playing the key role. The sneak first strike would involve all Russian missile strategic forces branches (bombers and ground-based missiles) at the different stages of such attack that would be strategic translation of what was seen in Syria in November 2015. There was no report that the Russian had such a capability of launching a high precision, multiple, combined arms attack at targets 2,000+ kilometers away. Western intelligence had no clue. The irony is that since the end of the Cold War the United States has been maneuvering through NATO to achieve a position to execute a first strike over Russia and now it seems that the first strike may occur but the country finished would be the United States.

Another particularity of the Western system is that its individuals have been brainwashed to the point that the majority accept their moral high ground and technological edge as a given. This has given the rise of the supremacy of the emotional arguments over the rational ones which are ignored or deprecated. That mindset can play a key role in the upcoming catastrophic events. At least in the Soviet system the silent majority of the people were aware of the fallacies they were fed up. We can see the United States claims about G5 being stolen from them by China or hypersonic technology being stolen by Russia as the evidence that the Western elites are also infected by that hubris. Over the next decade it will become obvious that the West is falling behind the Russia-China block and the malaise might grow into desperation. Going to war might seem a quick and easy solution to restore the lost hegemony to finally find them into a France 1940 moment. Back then France did not have nuclear weapons to turn a defeat into a victory. The West might try that swap because the unpleasant prospect of not being Mars and Venus but rather a bully and his dirty bitch running away in fear while the rest of the world is laughing at them.

If there is not a dramatic change of course the world is going to witness the first nuclear war. The Western block collapse may come before, during or after the war. It does not matter. A nuclear war is a game with billions of casualties and the collapse plays in the hundreds of millions.

This website is non-profit, built on spare time and we provide our information and services AS IS without further explanations and/or guarantees. We are not linked to any government. Take into account that the forecast is nothing more than a game of numbers whether flawed or correct based upon some speculative assumptions.

Friday, September 25th, 2020

Elle famoso guerre nucléaire

Retour à la liste des sujets

https://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2021/12/1/1616446997-1616443795256.png

Lesquels prendriez-vous et pourquoi ?

Je connais un daron qui a fini en réa après le vaccin

il a failli crever durant ces 7 jours d'agonie après le vaccin

La candidature d'Eric Zemmour s'inscrit dans une bataille entre deux idéologies très fortes, deux grands mouvements, qu'on peut caractériser l'une par l'idéologie de la peur : la peur des autres, la peur des étrangers, la peur des femmes, la peur des Juifs, la peur des Musulmans, et finalement la peur de soi-même, parce qu'on ne croit pas qu'on soit capable de quoi que ce soit. Et ça se traduit inévitablement par une idéologie de : puisque j'ai peur, je me replie sur moi, je fais l'apologie de la pureté, donc de la purification — c'est-à-dire qu'entre ceux qui sont pour la pureté nationale, ceux qui sont pour la pureté ethnique et ceux qui sont pour la purification idéologique qu'on retrouve dans les extrémismes de toute nature et les fondamentalismes, c'est la même chose.

Et face à ça, l'autre idéologie, celle que j'essaye de montrer comme celle qui porte l'avenir, qui est extraordinairement optimiste, c'est l'idéologie du respect : respect de soi-même, respect des femmes, respect des Juifs, des Musulmans, des autres ; ouverture et acceptation du nouveau, du changement qui fait qu'on est inévitablement conduits à la bienveillance, à l'empathie, au courage, à l'optimisme, à la volonté de se trouver soi-même — parce que si on se respecte, c'est qu'on a envie de réussir sa vie ! Et si on a envie de réussir sa vie, on se rend compte très vite qu'on ne peut pas réussir sa vie sans altruisme. C'est d'ailleurs tout ce que montrent les technologies modernes, qui font que la réussite suppose le partage, suppose l'empathie, suppose l'écoute des autres, suppose l'ouverture au monde.

Je prends juste un exemple concret, j'étais avant-hier à Mulhouse , j'ai vu des jeunes, qui venaient des communautés dites étrangères, à qui on a simplement tendu la main et donné la chance, en les coachant, de les permettre de réussir leur métier. Je me souviens d'un gamin, venant de Tunisie, devenu prof de plongée sous-marine et maintenant artiste photographe, etc. et qui en même temps passe une partie de son temps à aider les autres du quartier à s'épanouir et à réussir leur vie.

Et ça, je crois que c'est ça qui est le grand changement. Il faut ne pas avoir peur de soi-même, avoir une grande ambition pour soi-même, et là tout naturellement naît un altruisme et une solidarité nouvelle, naît le fait de ce que j'appelle devenir soi, qui n'est pas rester soi, surtout pas ! Parce que devenir soi, c'est créer un soi qui ne soit pas simplement une nostalgie du passé, un retour sur des frontières, la fermeture d'un club où on a été très content d'être admis mais on ne veut que personne d'autre ne rentre après soi, parce qu'une fois que la porte est ouverte pour soi on a envie de la refermer pour les autres — c'est ça qui conduit à la mort d'une nation. Une nation n'est forte que si elle a envie de devenir elle-même, et elle ne peut devenir elle-même que si elle est en permanent changement en accueillant les autres, en considérant le métissage comme positif et en s'inventant en permanence. Ça suppose de l'empathie, de la bienveillance, de l'altruisme : c'est ça, je crois, la grande bataille idéologique d'aujourd'hui.

Le 07 février 2021 à 23:54:37 SiropDePomme89 a écrit :
possible de lire l'article sans payer ?

il est gratuit l'article de l'op

Le 07 février 2021 à 14:12:34 JVCroche a écrit :
Bah oui, il n'y a qu'à voir les liens étroits entre le monde de la finance et le monde politiquehttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2018/27/4/1530827992-jesusreup.png
Dans ce genre de monde, pour eux l'Etat à tout intérêt à être endettéhttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2018/27/4/1530827992-jesusreup.png

Comme quoi le XXIe siècle n'a rien inventéhttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2021/05/3/1612368352-philippotcote.png

Selon lui, l'intérêt de l'aristocratie financière est le creusement de la dette publique parce qu'elle en est rentière. Et comme elle a le pouvoir politique, elle décide des emprunts de l'Etat. En sorte qu'en ayant la mainmise sur l'Etat elle creusait la dette parce que c'est dans son intérêt vu que c'est elle qui prêtait l'argent à l'Etat avec des intérêts.https://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2016/30/1469541952-risitas182.png

Bon ça se passe sous la seconde république, mais il y a quand même quelques échos à la situation d'aujourd'huihttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2016/30/1469541952-risitas182.png

On en talk ?

Ils regardent quoi vos parents ?

Je suis gay passif.

Puceau ou pas ?

Le 28 janvier 2021 à 18:15:57 cyanobacterie a écrit :

Le 28 janvier 2021 à 18:12:03 JVCroche a écrit :

Le 28 janvier 2021 à 18:11:02 cyanobacterie a écrit :

Le 28 janvier 2021 à 18:09:18 JVCroche a écrit :
Vous êtes des autistes ou quoi ?

En quoi faut-il se plaindre sur le sort des déchets non-diplômés ? Ce sont généralement des beaufs. Des gens que vous voyez dans les commentaires facebook qui écrivent comme des attardés.

Khey on est tous sur le 18-25 qu'est-ce que tu raconteshttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2018/26/7/1530476579-reupjesus.png

Mais tu te rends compte que ce sont les SEGPA les plus concernés ?

Khey les débiles baisent, ils ont un côté animal voir primate, après si tu parles des segpa c'est un handicap

Les débiles se reproduisent entre-eux.
Rien d'enviable.

je n'ai jamais pris de complement et je suis vegetarien

C'est grave docteur ? je vais mourir ?

Wesh mon srabhttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2017/22/1496420400-sticker-fille-9-10-4.png

Wesh ça va ?https://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2017/07/1487302700-capu-2.jpg

Wesh frèrehttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2017/01/1483717748-dobrev1.jpg

Wesh akhihttps://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2017/22/1496420400-sticker-fille-9-10-4.png